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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:28computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
52%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$637
Smart money entered91¢0.0¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$637 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$1
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$1
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$99
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$99
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$68
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$68
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$11
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$11
2d ago0x844f…6fccMidSellUp95¢$64
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown8.0¢$1
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown8.0¢$2
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown11¢$29
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$8
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$62
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$62
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$8
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$25
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$0
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$25
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown5.0¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown17¢$3
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown20¢$10
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown20¢$1
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown20¢$2
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown17¢$1
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown20¢$2
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown20¢$4
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown20¢$0
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown11¢$11
2d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown16¢$6
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp85¢$29
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp85¢$29
2d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp79¢$28
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown40¢$5
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown40¢$5
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp83¢$28
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp83¢$28
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown29¢$2
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown29¢$1
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown27¢$3
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown27¢$3
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown29¢$5
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown33¢$3
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown33¢$3
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown28¢$0
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown40¢$10
2d ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp72¢$5
2d ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp72¢$5
2d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp61¢$22