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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:28computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
59%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$6,960
Smart money entered99¢0.0¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$6,960 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$11
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$11
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$1
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$1
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$5
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$5
2d ago0x4ed4…9876MidBuyDown99¢$80
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp9.0¢$1
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp9.0¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp9.0¢$2
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp9.0¢$5
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp9.0¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp9.0¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp9.0¢$0
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp4.7¢$25
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$97
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$96
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$96
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$104
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$139
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$1
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$206
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$90
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$206
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$90
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$2,762
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$99
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$2,760
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$99
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp2.0¢$1
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp3.0¢$2
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp10¢$5
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp10¢$5
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp28¢$0
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp28¢$1
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown64¢$15
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown64¢$15
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown54¢$3
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp58¢$15
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown45¢$12
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown45¢$12
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown48¢$13
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown48¢$13
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp66¢$17
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp60¢$16
2d ago0xe956…d21cMidBuyUp50¢$62