Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $14.8K·Volume $4·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$622
72h +$622
Smart money entered50¢100¢at 01:03(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$14.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$622, +$622 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:03