Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $14.7K·Volume $6·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,017
72h +$6,017
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 01:03Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$14.7K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,017, +$6,017 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:03
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,755 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $89 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $34 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $102 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2,456 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $19 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $39 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $27 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $40 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $40 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $27 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $36 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $17 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $27 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 90¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 90¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 90¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $12 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $12 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $20 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $0 |