Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.8K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$817
Smart money entered93¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.8K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$817 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $65 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $39 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $39 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 58¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 63¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 59¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 59¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 36¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 57¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 57¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Down | 44¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Down | 44¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Down | 36¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 66¢ | $5 |