Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.4K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
13
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$11.8K
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$11.4K
Explanation
13 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$11.8K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $79 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $50 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $233 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2,024 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | 0x8e77…25f8Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 8.5¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $836 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 8.5¢ | $27 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $39 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $297 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $197 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $197 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $297 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $115 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $115 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $888 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $888 |