Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,601·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,495
Smart money entered91¢100¢at 04:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,601
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,495 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 46¢ | $48 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 39¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 34¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 39¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 39¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 34¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 39¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 61¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $77 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $77 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |