Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $20.0K·Volume $4·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,316
72h +$1,316
Smart money entered67¢99¢at 01:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$20.0K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 67¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,316, +$1,316 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $37 |
| 5h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $37 |
| 5h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $467 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $32 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 90¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 90¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $29 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $36 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $40 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $10 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $19 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $12 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $6 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 70¢ | $24 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 70¢ | $24 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $10 |