Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,914·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$999
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 04:27Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,914
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$999 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $899 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $110 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $110 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $62 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $62 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $28 |