Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,872·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$11.5K
Smart money entered92¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,872
Explanation
9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$11.5K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2,386 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2,386 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $348 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $101 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $101 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,039 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 6.5¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 6.5¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $93 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $31 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $1,000 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $1,000 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 71¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 71¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 39¢ | $47 |
| 2d ago | 0xf13d…afc3Mid | Buy | Down | 55¢ | $31 |
| 2d ago | 0xf13d…afc3Mid | Buy | Down | 55¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | CrazyBanana03Mid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $453 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $20 |