Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,891·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$7,310
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,891
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$7,310 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $183 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $183 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $181 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $181 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $3,315 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $3,311 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $68 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 75¢ | $27 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $22 |