Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,968·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$16.7K
Smart money entered95¢100¢at 04:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,968
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$16.7K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $66 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $66 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $71 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $71 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $188 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $188 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,761 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,761 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $899 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $899 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $232 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $74 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $74 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $351 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $351 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,618 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,617 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 6.0¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 8.0¢ | $2 |