Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.8K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$11.8K
Smart money entered94¢99¢at 04:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$11.8K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$11.8K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $475 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $301 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $123 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $295 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $105 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $216 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 4.9¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,327 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,324 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 86¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 86¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $1 |