Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,481
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$12.0K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,481 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $238 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $238 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $498 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $498 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $51 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $51 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $66 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $66 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,066 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,480 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $231 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,480 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,066 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $870 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 63¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | 0xf13d…afc3Mid | Buy | Down | 58¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xf13d…afc3Mid | Buy | Down | 58¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $11 |