Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.9K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$24.7K
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$11.9K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$24.7K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $109 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $109 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $56 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $56 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3,835 |
| 2d ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $231 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3,835 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $963 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $963 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $531 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $531 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $210 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $210 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $39 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |