Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,723·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,364
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,723
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,364 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $208 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $208 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $125 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $125 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,207 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,206 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,047 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,047 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $134 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 82¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 82¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 34¢ | $36 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $5 |