Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,966·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$5,088
Smart money entered95¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,966
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$5,088 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $564 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $564 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $781 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $781 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 42¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 61¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 66¢ | $71 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 61¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 80¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 80¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 61¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 61¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 62¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 61¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 61¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 61¢ | $7 |