Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.2K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,712
Smart money entered94¢100¢at 04:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.2K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,712 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 59¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 59¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 42¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 59¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 58¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 57¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 57¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 57¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $14 |