Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,822·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$5,809
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,822
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$5,809 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $718 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $718 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $699 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $699 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $699 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $699 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $38 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 86¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 86¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 30¢ | $27 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 30¢ | $27 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 66¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 37¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 66¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $54 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $54 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 62¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 37¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 36¢ | $60 |