Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,527
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.1K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,527 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $48 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $805 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $805 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $38 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $38 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $321 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $321 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 3.4¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 3.4¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $448 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,486 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $1 |