Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$11.6K
Smart money entered94¢100¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.0K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$11.6K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $184 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $189 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $234 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $195 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $116 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $194 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $195 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $135 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 2.8¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $184 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $189 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $234 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $194 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $195 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 2.8¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $195 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $116 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $135 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $210 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $105 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $210 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $105 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $104 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |