Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$7,698
Smart money entered93¢100¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.0K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$7,698 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $43 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $101 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $59 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $59 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $43 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $101 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,667 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $59 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $54 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $59 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,665 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $54 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $132 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $132 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |