Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,850·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$7,935
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 04:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,850
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$7,935 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,467 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,465 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 45¢ | $8 |