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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

ActiveLiquidity $9,997·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:06computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$8,997
72h +$8,997
Smart money entered88¢100¢at 02:06(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy9h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,997
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$8,997, +$8,997 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:06
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$62
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$62
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$29
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$1
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$24
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$1
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$24
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$29
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$29
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$3
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$3
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$495
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$495
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$12
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$12
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$99
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$99
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$2,710
9h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$2,710
9h ago0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710MidBuyDown98¢$10
9h ago0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710MidBuyDown98¢$2
9h ago0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710MidBuyDown98¢$2
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp2.0¢$2
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp2.0¢$2
9h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown76¢$21
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp50¢$67
9h ago0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518MidBuyDown50¢$10
9h ago0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518MidBuyDown50¢$10
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp48¢$24
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp50¢$67
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp48¢$0
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp52¢$11
9h ago0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518MidBuyDown48¢$10
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp50¢$6
9h ago0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518MidBuyDown48¢$9
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp50¢$5
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp48¢$10
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp48¢$5
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp48¢$7
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp48¢$3
9h ago0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518MidBuyDown49¢$115
9h ago0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518MidBuyDown48¢$13
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp50¢$30
9h ago0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518MidBuyDown48¢$2
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp48¢$12
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp50¢$7
9h ago0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518MidBuyDown51¢$118
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp49¢$41
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp48¢$25
9h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp48¢$1