Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,997·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$8,997
72h +$8,997
Smart money entered88¢100¢at 02:06(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy9h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,997
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$8,997, +$8,997 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:06
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $62 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $62 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $29 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $24 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $24 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $29 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $29 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $12 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $12 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,710 |
| 9h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,710 |
| 9h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $10 |
| 9h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $2 |
| 9h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $2 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $2 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $2 |
| 9h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 76¢ | $21 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $67 |
| 9h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $10 |
| 9h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $10 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $24 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $67 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $0 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 52¢ | $11 |
| 9h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 48¢ | $10 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $6 |
| 9h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 48¢ | $9 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $5 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $10 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $5 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $7 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $3 |
| 9h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $115 |
| 9h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 48¢ | $13 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $30 |
| 9h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 48¢ | $2 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $12 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $7 |
| 9h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 51¢ | $118 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $41 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $25 |
| 9h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $1 |