Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,898·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,151
Smart money entered77¢100¢at 04:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,898
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 77¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,151 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $243 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $64 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $64 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $231 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $76 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $231 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $111 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $111 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $89 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $89 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $69 |
| 2d ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Up | 82¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 28¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Up | 82¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 72¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 72¢ | $20 |