Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,917·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,267
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,917
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,267 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $73 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,643 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $67 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $67 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $60 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $37 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $95 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 41¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 41¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 35¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 35¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 34¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 34¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 78¢ | $27 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 78¢ | $27 |