Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,976·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,931
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,976
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,931 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $178 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $178 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $43 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $43 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $79 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $79 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $93 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $93 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $305 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $239 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $305 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $239 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |