Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$7,656
Smart money entered91¢99¢at 04:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.1K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$7,656 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $332 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $332 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $180 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $180 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $37 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $37 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $41 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $41 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $173 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $173 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $46 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $46 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $110 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $110 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $27 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |