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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $10.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:28computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$15.3K
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$15.3K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$38
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$38
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$999
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$33
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$999
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$33
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$15
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$15
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$999
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$999
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$37
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$37
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$999
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$999
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$999
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$999
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$4
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$4
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$1
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$1
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$7
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$7
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$10
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown100¢$100
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$10
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$5
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$5
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$5
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$90
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$50
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$10
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$15
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$20
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown96¢$24
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown96¢$24
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown97¢$15
2d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown94¢$9
2d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown94¢$0
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$1,090
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp1.0¢$7
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$1,090
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp1.0¢$7
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$1
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$6
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$490
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$6
2d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$1