Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up1%Down99%
Smart money leans
Down
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,067
Smart money entered89¢99¢at 04:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.1K
Explanation
9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,067 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x8e77…25f8Mid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $95 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $59 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $91 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $72 |
| 2d ago | 0x9566…6f25Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,961 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 87¢ | $35 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 87¢ | $52 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 80¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 80¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 68¢ | $72 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 80¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 80¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 44¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 44¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 44¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 42¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 44¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 44¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 44¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 30¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 30¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 72¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 68¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 42¢ | $9 |