Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,940·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$17.7K
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,940
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$17.7K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $237 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $237 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $113 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $113 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $75 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,998 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,201 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $968 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,201 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $968 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $212 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $212 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $212 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $212 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $231 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $380 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |