Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,958·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$18.9K
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,958
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$18.9K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $43 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $43 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $225 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $72 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $979 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $41 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $41 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $979 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $59 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $59 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $48 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,931 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $48 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,929 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 91¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 91¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 76¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 76¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 91¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 91¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 76¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 76¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 76¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 76¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 31¢ | $0 |