Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up1%Down99%
Smart money leans
Down
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,652
Smart money entered87¢99¢at 04:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.0K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,652 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $85 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $85 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 93¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 29¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 29¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 51¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $506 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 20¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $4 |