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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $10.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:29computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$11.1K
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 04:29Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$11.1K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$500
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$500
2d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$295
2d ago0x5a6f…0e13MidBuyDown100¢$995
2d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$295
2d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$999
2d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$205
2d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$999
2d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$205
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$3,005
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$200
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$3,005
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown100¢$100
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown99¢$7
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$0
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$29
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$19
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$24
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$24
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown89¢$23
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown89¢$23
2d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp16¢$1
2d ago0x844f…6fccMidSellDown97¢$255
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp2.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp2.0¢$1
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp2.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp2.0¢$1
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp2.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp2.0¢$0
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp29¢$0
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp29¢$3
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp29¢$3
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp29¢$1
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp29¢$0
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp29¢$1
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp29¢$0
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp29¢$12
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp29¢$6
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp29¢$4
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp29¢$3
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp29¢$3
2d ago0x5e43…34c2MidBuyUp30¢$0
2d ago0x5e43…34c2MidBuyUp30¢$3
2d ago0x5e43…34c2MidBuyUp30¢$0
2d ago0x5e43…34c2MidBuyUp30¢$1
2d ago0x5e43…34c2MidBuyUp30¢$2
2d ago0x5e43…34c2MidBuyUp30¢$3
2d ago0x5e43…34c2MidBuyUp30¢$2
2d ago0x5e43…34c2MidBuyUp30¢$0
2d ago0x5e43…34c2MidBuyUp30¢$1