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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $11.8K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:31computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,674
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:31Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$11.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,674 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:31
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$123
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$123
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$172
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$172
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$3
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$3
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$4
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$4
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$144
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$144
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$2
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$2
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$43
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$43
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$9
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$9
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$235
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$235
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$202
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$202
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$3
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$4
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$3
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$4
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$2
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$2
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$22
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$22
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$58
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$58
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$2
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$216
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$185
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$216
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$15
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$0
2d ago0x8e77…25f8MidBuyDown99¢$1,981
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown97¢$58
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown97¢$58
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown97¢$0
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$98
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0