Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.4K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$9,213
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 05:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.4K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$9,213 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $370 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $370 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $179 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $179 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $111 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,454 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $111 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,453 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x9566…6f25Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,961 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 89¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 75¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 75¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 69¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $2 |