Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.3K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$21.4K
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 04:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.3K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$21.4K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $4,995 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $4,995 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $65 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $983 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x8e77…25f8Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $187 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $50 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $273 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $594 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $475 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $140 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $594 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $475 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $140 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $86 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |