Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,948·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,358
Smart money entered89¢100¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,948
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,358 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $79 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 2.6¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 2.6¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $67 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Sell | Up | 3.4¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Sell | Up | 3.4¢ | $31 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Down | 87¢ | $504 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Down | 87¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 86¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 17¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 36¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 42¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 35¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 38¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $54 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 46¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 46¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $3 |