Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.5K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$6,904
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 04:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.5K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$6,904 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x4ed4…9876Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,980 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $347 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $346 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $346 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $347 |
| 2d ago | 0x4ed4…9876Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,980 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $73 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 21¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 26¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Sell | Up | 44¢ | $35 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 24¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 24¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 24¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 24¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $504 |
| 2d ago | 0xbdb4…5decMid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 38¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $39 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $20 |