Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.8K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,368
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 04:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.8K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,368 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,058 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $128 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 78¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 58¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 57¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | allin69Mid | Buy | Up | 58¢ | $206 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 34¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 28¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 43¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 45¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 55¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 44¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 75¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 73¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 73¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 75¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 67¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 64¢ | $23 |