Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,972·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
58%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$926
Smart money entered85¢99¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,972
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$926 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $45 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $38 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 82¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 82¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $42 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 45¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 39¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $41 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 38¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 38¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 38¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $31 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 86¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 86¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 17¢ | $7 |