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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $9,055·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:10computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,173
Smart money entered78¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,055
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 78¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,173 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$2
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$14
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown1.0¢$7
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp99¢$40
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$693
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown1.0¢$7
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$693
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp99¢$40
2d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$99
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown13¢$25
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$88
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown13¢$25
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$8
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp91¢$4
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp84¢$5
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp91¢$16
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp91¢$11
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp84¢$17
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp84¢$35
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp84¢$5
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp84¢$9
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp84¢$5
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp84¢$8
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp81¢$17
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp84¢$67
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$33
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp88¢$15
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$1
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$9
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$11
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$14
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$26
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown8.0¢$3
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp88¢$73
2d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown10¢$4
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp86¢$12
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp81¢$11
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp86¢$74
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp80¢$3
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown19¢$7
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown48¢$48
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown57¢$6
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown57¢$11
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp49¢$5
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp41¢$17
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown90¢$13
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown72¢$3
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp50¢$34
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown90¢$28
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp10¢$2