Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$11.1K
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:10Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$11.1K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$11.1K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $44 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $44 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $66 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $66 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $70 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $70 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,126 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $806 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,858 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,858 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $314 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $314 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $551 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $551 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $899 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $200 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 83¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 38¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $46 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $20 |