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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $10.4K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:28computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$22.3K
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.4K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$22.3K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5,335
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$500
2d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$1,499
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5,335
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$500
2d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$1,499
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$4
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$4
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$1
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$1
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$33
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$33
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$999
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$999
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$999
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$120
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$100
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$120
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown100¢$100
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$100
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$0
2d ago0x8e77…25f8MidBuyDown99¢$156
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp4.0¢$3
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp3.0¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp4.0¢$0
2d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp7.0¢$3
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$0
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$32
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$32
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$32
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp1.8¢$13
2d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp1.8¢$13
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp9.0¢$1
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp18¢$6
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp12¢$5
2d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp12¢$5
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp6.0¢$1
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp6.0¢$0
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$13
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$0
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$216
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$5
2d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$99
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$5
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$216
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$1,741
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$1,740
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$19
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$48