Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $5,108·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$6,199
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$5,108
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$6,199 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $38 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $297 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $297 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $255 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $463 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $70 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $70 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $51 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $101 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $51 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $101 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $95 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $74 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,478 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |