Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,962·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$11.2K
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,962
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$11.2K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $360 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $360 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,444 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,444 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $41 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $41 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,203 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,203 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |