Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,766·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,242
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,766
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,242 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $75 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $75 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $72 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $72 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,362 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $62 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $56 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $62 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $56 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,362 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $119 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $119 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 86¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 86¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 83¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 83¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 43¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 31¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 42¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 42¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 46¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 75¢ | $1 |