Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,916·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,943
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,916
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,943 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $39 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $133 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $133 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $326 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $326 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $73 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $73 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $109 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $296 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $109 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $296 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $37 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $37 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $157 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $77 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $77 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $157 |