Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,686·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$11.7K
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:11Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,686
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$11.7K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2,759 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2,759 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,998 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $200 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,998 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 70¢ | $107 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 63¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 56¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $13 |