Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.5K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$9,931
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:29Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.5K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$9,931 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $200 |
| 2d ago | 0x8e77…25f8Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 18¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $42 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $56 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $69 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $1,476 |
| 2d ago | 0x9566…6f25Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $199 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $1,476 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $50 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $139 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $155 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 3.7¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $101 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,181 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,181 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $2 |